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S&P Global Ratings affirms Ecopetrol's Stand-Alone Credit Profile (SACP) while adjusting its global credit rating

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Ecopetrol (NYSE: EC) has received a downgrade in its global credit rating from BB+ to BB by S&P Global Ratings, while maintaining a negative outlook. The downgrade follows Colombia's sovereign rating reduction on June 26, 2025. However, S&P affirmed Ecopetrol's Stand-Alone Credit Profile (SACP) at bb+.

The rating agency expects Ecopetrol to maintain a leverage ratio between 2.0x and 2.5x, with an EBITDA margin near 40%. S&P positively acknowledged the company's 2040 strategy, focusing on growth prospects, reserve replacement, operational efficiency, and business diversification.

Ecopetrol (NYSE: EC) ha subito un declassamento del suo rating creditizio globale da BB+ a BB da parte di S&P Global Ratings, mantenendo per貌 un outlook negativo. Il declassamento segue la riduzione del rating sovrano della Colombia avvenuta il 26 giugno 2025. Tuttavia, S&P ha confermato il profilo di credito Stand-Alone (SACP) di Ecopetrol a bb+.

L'agenzia di rating prevede che Ecopetrol manterr脿 un rapporto di leva finanziaria compreso tra 2,0x e 2,5x, con un margine EBITDA vicino al 40%. S&P ha riconosciuto positivamente la strategia 2040 dell'azienda, che si concentra sulle prospettive di crescita, il rinnovo delle riserve, l'efficienza operativa e la diversificazione del business.

Ecopetrol (NYSE: EC) ha recibido una rebaja en su calificaci贸n crediticia global de BB+ a BB por parte de S&P Global Ratings, manteniendo una perspectiva negativa. La rebaja sigue a la reducci贸n de la calificaci贸n soberana de Colombia el 26 de junio de 2025. Sin embargo, S&P confirm贸 el Perfil de Cr茅dito Independiente (SACP) de Ecopetrol en bb+.

La agencia de calificaci贸n espera que Ecopetrol mantenga una ratio de apalancamiento entre 2,0x y 2,5x, con un margen EBITDA cercano al 40%. S&P reconoci贸 positivamente la estrategia 2040 de la compa帽铆a, centrada en las perspectivas de crecimiento, la reposici贸n de reservas, la eficiencia operativa y la diversificaci贸n del negocio.

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Ecopetrol (NYSE : EC) a vu sa note de cr茅dit globale d茅grad茅e de BB+ 脿 BB par S&P Global Ratings, tout en conservant une perspective n茅gative. Cette d茅gradation fait suite 脿 la r茅duction de la note souveraine de la Colombie le 26 juin 2025. Cependant, S&P a confirm茅 le Profil de Cr茅dit Autonome (SACP) d'Ecopetrol 脿 bb+.

L'agence de notation pr茅voit qu'Ecopetrol maintiendra un ratio d'endettement compris entre 2,0x et 2,5x, avec une marge EBITDA proche de 40%. S&P a salu茅 positivement la strat茅gie 2040 de l'entreprise, ax茅e sur les perspectives de croissance, le remplacement des r茅serves, l'efficacit茅 op茅rationnelle et la diversification des activit茅s.

Ecopetrol (NYSE: EC) wurde von S&P Global Ratings in seiner globalen Kreditbewertung von BB+ auf BB herabgestuft, wobei der negative Ausblick beibehalten wurde. Die Herabstufung folgt auf die Senkung der Staatsbewertung Kolumbiens am 26. Juni 2025. S&P best盲tigte jedoch das eigenst盲ndige Kreditprofil (SACP) von Ecopetrol mit bb+.

Die Ratingagentur erwartet, dass Ecopetrol eine Verschuldungsquote zwischen 2,0x und 2,5x beibeh盲lt, mit einer EBITDA-Marge nahe 40%. S&P w眉rdigte positiv die 2040-Strategie des Unternehmens, die sich auf Wachstumsaussichten, Reserveersatz, operative Effizienz und Gesch盲ftsdifferenzierung konzentriert.

Positive
  • Stand-Alone Credit Profile (SACP) maintained at bb+
  • Expected EBITDA margin of approximately 40%
  • Strong operational metrics with high refinery availability
  • Positive outlook on 2040 strategy focusing on growth and diversification
Negative
  • Global credit rating downgraded from BB+ to BB
  • Negative outlook maintained following sovereign downgrade
  • Leverage ratio (debt/EBITDA) expected between 2.0x and 2.5x
  • Rating constrained by Colombia's sovereign rating due to government relationship

Insights

Ecopetrol's downgrade to BB reflects Colombia's sovereign issues, not company performance; will increase borrowing costs despite solid operations.

S&P's downgrade of Ecopetrol from BB+ to BB with a negative outlook requires careful interpretation. The action reflects a sovereign ceiling effect rather than company-specific concerns, directly following Colombia's sovereign downgrade on June 26.

The critical distinction lies in S&P affirming Ecopetrol's Stand-Alone Credit Profile at bb+, indicating the company's intrinsic creditworthiness remains unchanged. This distinction matters because it signals that Ecopetrol's operational and financial fundamentals remain solid, with S&P expecting:

  • Leverage ratio (debt/EBITDA) between 2.0x-2.5x
  • EBITDA margin of approximately 40%

Despite these healthy metrics and S&P's positive view of Ecopetrol's 2040 strategy (focusing on growth, reserve replacement, refinery optimization, and portfolio diversification), the company faces the unavoidable reality of being cap-limited by sovereign constraints.

This rating action illustrates the classic "sovereign ceiling" dilemma faced by government-related entities. Regardless of operational excellence, Ecopetrol's rating cannot exceed Colombia's due to three key factors:

  • The company's significance in national revenue generation
  • Its status as a government-related entity (the government holds majority ownership)
  • Its role in Colombia's energy transition

For investors and creditors, this downgrade will likely increase Ecopetrol's borrowing costs and could constrain its financial flexibility. The negative outlook suggests continued pressure, with further downgrade risk if Colombia's sovereign rating deteriorates further.

BOGOTA, Colombia, June 27, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Ecopetrol S.A. (BVC: ECOPETROL; NYSE: EC, the "Company") informs that on June 27, 2025, the credit rating agency S&P Global Ratings downgraded Ecopetrol's global credit rating from BB+ to BB and maintained the negative outlook. This action is aligned with the downgrade of the Republic of Colombia's sovereign rating on June 26, 2025. Additionally, the agency affirmed Ecopetrol's Stand-Alone Credit Profile (SACP) at bb+.

Ecopetrol Logo.

In its report, S&P stated that Ecopetrol's global rating was adjusted in line with Colombia's sovereign rating and remains capped by it, due to the Company's significance in national revenue generation, its status as a government-related entity, and its role in the country's energy transition. The negative outlook on Ecopetrol reflects the sovereign's outlook.

Regarding the stand-alone rating, the agency expects Ecopetrol to maintain its leverage ratio (debt/EBITDA) between 2.0x and 2.5x, with an EBITDA margin close to 40%. S&P also positively highlighted the Company's 2040 strategy, which focuses on growth prospects, reserve replacement, high operational availability of refineries, and strengthening the investment portfolio through business diversification.

The full report issued by the agency on June 27, 2025, announcing the rating action, can be accessed in the link below:

Ecopetrol is the largest company in Colombia and one of the main integrated energy companies in the American continent, with more than 19,000 employees. In Colombia, it is responsible for more than 60% of the hydrocarbon production of most transportation, logistics, and hydrocarbon refining systems, and it holds leading positions in the petrochemicals and gas distribution segments. With the acquisition of 51.4% of ISA's shares, the company participates in energy transmission, the management of real-time systems (XM), and the Barranquilla - Cartagena coastal highway concession. At the international level, Ecopetrol has a stake in strategic basins in the American continent, with Drilling and Exploration operations in the United States (Permian basin and the Gulf of Mexico), Brazil, and Mexico, and, through ISA and its subsidiaries, Ecopetrol holds leading positions in the power transmission business in Brazil, Chile, Peru, and Bolivia, road concessions in Chile, and the telecommunications sector.

This release contains statements that may be considered forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the U.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. All forward-looking statements, whether made in this release or in future filings or press releases, or orally, address matters that involve risks and uncertainties, including in respect of the Company's prospects for growth and its ongoing access to capital to fund the Company's business plan, among others. Consequently, changes in the following factors, among others, could cause actual results to differ materially from those included in the forward-looking statements: market prices of oil & gas, our exploration, and production activities, market conditions, applicable regulations, the exchange rate, the Company's competitiveness and the performance of Colombia's economy and industry, to mention a few. We do not intend and do not assume any obligation to update these forward-looking statements.

For more information, please contact:

Head of Capital Markets
Carolina听Tovar Arag贸n
Email: [email protected]

Head of Corporate Communications (Colombia)
Marcela Ulloa
Email: [email protected]

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SOURCE Ecopetrol S.A.

FAQ

What is Ecopetrol's new credit rating from S&P Global Ratings in 2025?

S&P Global Ratings downgraded Ecopetrol's global credit rating from BB+ to BB on June 27, 2025, while maintaining a negative outlook.

Why was Ecopetrol's (EC) credit rating downgraded in 2025?

The downgrade was primarily due to the reduction in Colombia's sovereign rating on June 26, 2025, as Ecopetrol's rating is capped by the sovereign rating due to its status as a government-related entity.

What is Ecopetrol's expected EBITDA margin and leverage ratio for 2025?

S&P expects Ecopetrol to maintain an EBITDA margin close to 40% and a leverage ratio (debt/EBITDA) between 2.0x and 2.5x.

What is Ecopetrol's Stand-Alone Credit Profile (SACP) rating in 2025?

S&P Global Ratings affirmed Ecopetrol's Stand-Alone Credit Profile (SACP) at bb+.

What are the key elements of Ecopetrol's 2040 strategy highlighted by S&P?

S&P highlighted Ecopetrol's focus on growth prospects, reserve replacement, high operational availability of refineries, and strengthening the investment portfolio through business diversification.
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