Constellation Brands Updates Fiscal 2026 Outlook
Constellation Brands (NYSE:STZ), a leading beverage alcohol company, has revised its fiscal 2026 outlook downward due to challenging macroeconomic conditions. The company updated its comparable EPS guidance to $11.30-$11.60, down from $12.60-$12.90, and expects Enterprise organic net sales to decline (6)%-( 4)%.
The Beer segment is projected to see net sales decline of (4)%-(2)% and operating income decline of (9)%-(7)%, primarily due to lower volumes, operating deleveraging, and additional tariffs. Despite challenges, the Beer Business maintained market leadership, growing volume share in 49 of 50 states and gaining 0.4 points in dollar share.
The company maintains its commitment to strategic initiatives, including cost savings programs and a $4 billion share repurchase program, of which $604 million has been executed in the first half of fiscal 2026. Free cash flow guidance was lowered to $1.3-$1.4 billion from $1.5-$1.6 billion.
Constellation Brands (NYSE:STZ), una primaria azienda di bevande alcoliche, ha rivisto al ribasso le prospettive per l'esercizio 2026 a causa di condizioni macroeconomiche difficili. La società ha aggiornato la guidance sull'EPS comparabile a $11,30-$11,60, rispetto a $12,60-$12,90 precedenti, e prevede che le vendite nette organiche dell'Enterprise diminuiranno del (6)%-(4)%.
Il segmento Beer è stimato in calo delle vendite nette per (4)%-(2)% e dell'utile operativo per (9)%-(7)%, principalmente a causa di volumi inferiori, deleveraging operativo e tariffe aggiuntive. Nonostante le difficoltà, il business della birra ha mantenuto la leadership di mercato, aumentando la quota volume in 49 stati su 50 e guadagnando 0,4 punti nella quota valore.
L'azienda conferma l'impegno nelle iniziative strategiche, inclusi programmi di risparmio sui costi e un programma di riacquisto azionario da $4 miliardi, di cui $604 milioni sono stati eseguiti nella prima metà dell'esercizio 2026. La guidance sul free cash flow è stata ridotta a $1,3-$1,4 miliardi da $1,5-$1,6 miliardi.
Constellation Brands (NYSE:STZ), una destacada compañía de bebidas alcohólicas, ha revisado a la baja sus perspectivas para el ejercicio 2026 debido a un entorno macroeconómico desafiante. La empresa actualizó su guidance de EPS comparable a $11.30-$11.60, desde $12.60-$12.90, y espera que las ventas netas orgánicas de la empresa disminuyan (6)%-(4)%.
Se proyecta que el segmento de Beer experimente una caída de las ventas netas de (4)%-(2)% y del ingreso operativo de (9)%-(7)%, principalmente por menores volúmenes, desapalancamiento operativo y aranceles adicionales. A pesar de los retos, el negocio de cerveza mantuvo el liderazgo de mercado, aumentando la cuota en volumen en 49 de 50 estados y ganando 0.4 puntos en cuota de valor.
La compañía mantiene su compromiso con las iniciativas estratégicas, incluidos programas de ahorro de costos y un programa de recompra de acciones de $4 mil millones, del cual se han ejecutado $604 millones en la primera mitad del ejercicio 2026. La guidance de flujo de caja libre se redujo a $1.3-$1.4 mil millones desde $1.5-$1.6 mil millones.
콘스텔레이션 브랜�(NYSE:STZ)� 선도� 주류 업체로서 경제 환경 악화� 2026회계연도 전망� 하향 조정했습니다. 회사� 비교 EPS 가이던스를 $11.30-$11.60�, 기존 $12.60-$12.90에서 하향했으� 기업� 유기� 순매출이 (6)%-(4)% 감소� 것으� 예상합니�.
맥주(Bear) 부문은 순매� (4)%-(2)% � 영업이익 (9)%-(7)% 감소가 예측되며, 이는 주로 판매� 감소, 영업 레버리지 악화 � 추가 관� 때문입니�. 그럼에도 불구하고 맥주 사업은 시장 지위를 유지했고 50� � � 49� 주에� 물량 점유율이 증가했으� 달러 기준 점유율은 0.4포인� 상승했습니다.
회사� 비용 절감 프로그램� $40� 규모� 자사� 매입 프로그램 � 전략� 과제� 대� 의지� 유지하고 있으�, 그중 $6.04�(= $604 million)� 2026회계연도 상반기에 집행되었습니�. 잉여현금흐름 전망은 기존 $1.5-$1.6 billion에서 $1.3-$1.4 billion으로 하향 조정되었습니�.
Constellation Brands (NYSE:STZ), une entreprise de premier plan dans les boissons alcoolisées, a révisé à la baisse ses perspectives pour l'exercice 2026 en raison d'un contexte macroéconomique difficile. La société a mis à jour sa prévision d'EPS comparable à $11,30-$11,60, contre $12,60-$12,90 auparavant, et anticipe que les ventes nettes organiques de l'Enterprise diminueront de (6)%-(4)%.
Le segment Beer devrait voir ses ventes nettes baisser de (4)%-(2)% et son résultat d'exploitation de (9)%-(7)%, principalement en raison de volumes plus faibles, d'un désendettement opérationnel et de droits de douane supplémentaires. Malgré ces difficultés, l'activité bière a conservé sa position de leader, augmentant sa part en volume dans 49 des 50 États et gagnant 0,4 point en part de valeur.
La société réaffirme son engagement envers les initiatives stratégiques, notamment les programmes d'économies de coûts et un programme de rachat d'actions de $4 milliards, dont $604 millions ont été exécutés au cours du premier semestre de l'exercice 2026. Les prévisions de free cash flow ont été réduites à $1,3-$1,4 milliard contre $1,5-$1,6 milliard.
Constellation Brands (NYSE:STZ), ein führendes Unternehmen im Bereich alkoholischer Getränke, hat seine Prognose für das Geschäftsjahr 2026 angesichts schwieriger makroökonomischer Rahmenbedingungen nach unten korrigiert. Das Unternehmen hat seine Comparable-EPS-Prognose auf $11,30-$11,60 angepasst (zuvor $12,60-$12,90) und erwartet, dass die organischen Nettoumsätze des Unternehmens um (6)%-(4)% zurückgehen.
Für das Beer-Segment werden Rückgänge der Nettoumsätze um (4)%-(2)% und des Betriebsergebnisses um (9)%-(7)% prognostiziert, hauptsächlich aufgrund geringerer Volumina, operativer Deleveraging-Effekte und zusätzlicher Zölle. Trotz der Herausforderungen behielt das Biergeschäft seine Marktführerschaft, steigerte den Volumenanteil in 49 von 50 Staaten und gewann 0,4 Punkte beim Dollar-Anteil.
Das Unternehmen bekräftigt sein Engagement für strategische Maßnahmen, einschließlich Kostenreduzierungsprogrammen und eines $4 Milliarden Aktienrückkaufprogramms, von dem in der ersten Hälfte des Geschäftsjahres 2026 bereits $604 Millionen umgesetzt wurden. Die Guidance für den Free Cashflow wurde von $1,5-$1,6 Milliarden auf $1,3-$1,4 Milliarden gesenkt.
- Maintained market leadership with volume share growth in 49 of 50 states
- Beer Business achieved 0.4 point increase in dollar share
- Cost savings and efficiency initiatives continue delivering benefits
- Strong share repurchase execution with $604 million completed in first half of fiscal 2026
- Operating cash flow remains robust at $2.5-$2.6 billion
- Comparable EPS guidance reduced significantly from $12.60-$12.90 to $11.30-$11.60
- Enterprise organic net sales expected to decline (6)%-(4)%, down from previous (2)% growth to 1% decline
- Beer segment forecasting operating income decline of (9)%-(7)%, revised from 0%-2% growth
- Free cash flow guidance lowered by $200 million to $1.3-$1.4 billion
- High-end beer buy rates showing deceleration, particularly among Hispanic consumers
Insights
Constellation Brands lowered FY26 guidance due to worsening consumer demand, with beer sales and profits now expected to decline.
Constellation Brands has significantly downgraded its fiscal 2026 outlook across multiple key metrics, signaling material headwinds for the company. The revised guidance shows comparable EPS now expected at
Most concerning is the sharp reversal in the Beer segment outlook, which was previously expected to grow
Management attributes these revisions to "incremental macroeconomic headwinds affecting consumer demand," with specific weakness noted in Hispanic consumer purchasing patterns. The company observed decelerating high-end beer buy rates with both reduced trip frequency and lower spend per trip. This is particularly significant because Hispanic consumers represent a crucial demographic for Constellation's premium Mexican beer portfolio.
Despite maintaining market share gains (growing volume share in 49 of 50 states), the company now expects distributor inventory rebalancing to occur earlier than usual, creating a 6-7 percentage point gap between shipments and depletions in Q2. Free cash flow projection has been reduced to
While the company continues to execute
Updates reported EPS guidance to
Updates Enterprise organic net sales to decline (6)% - (4)%, reported operating income to grow
Updates Beer net sales to decline (4)% - (2)% and Beer operating income to decline (9)% - (7)%
ROCHESTER, N.Y., Sept. 02, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Constellation Brands, Inc. (NYSE: STZ), a leading beverage alcohol company, announced today updates to management's current financial outlook for fiscal 2026.
Updated Outlook | Prior Outlook | Outlook Update Key Drivers | |||
FISCAL 2026 ESTIMATES | |||||
Reported diluted net income (loss) per share attributable to CBI (EPS)(1) | Per drivers below | ||||
Comparable EPS(1) | |||||
Guidance Assumptions: | |||||
Enterprise organic net sales growth (decline)(2) | (6)% - (4)% | (2)% - | Incremental macroeconomic headwinds affecting consumer demand | ||
Beer net sales growth (decline) | (4)% - (2)% | ||||
Wine and Spirits organic net sales decline(2) | unchanged | (20)% - (17)% | � | ||
Reported Enterprise operating income growth | Per drivers below | ||||
Comparable Enterprise operating income decline(2) | (11)% - (9)% | (3)% - (1)% | |||
Beer operating income growth (decline) | (9)% - (7)% | Impact from lower volumes, operating deleveraging, and additional tariffs | |||
Wine and Spirits organic operating income decline(2) | unchanged | (100)% - (97)% | � | ||
Corporate expense | Lower compensation and benefits expense | ||||
Equity in earnings | � | ||||
Interest expense, net | ~ | ~ | |||
Reported tax rate | ~ | ~ | U.S. tax law changes and shifts in taxable income base | ||
Comparable tax rate | ~ | ~ | Shifts in taxable income base | ||
Noncontrolling interests | unchanged | ~ | � | ||
Weighted average diluted sharesf="/articles/float-vs-shares-outstanding" title="Read: Float vs Shares Outstanding: Understanding the Key Difference" class="article-link" rel="noopener">shares outstanding(1) | ~176 million | ||||
Operating cash flow | Per drivers above | ||||
Capital expenditures | unchanged | ~ | � | ||
Free cash flow | Per drivers above | ||||
“We continue to navigate a challenging macroeconomic environment that has dampened consumer demand and led to more volatile consumer purchasing behavior since our first quarter of fiscal 2026,� said Constellation Brands President and Chief Executive Officer BillNewlands. “Over the last several months, high-end beer buy rates decelerated sequentially, as both trip frequency and spend per trip declined. Notably, high-end beer buy rate declines for Hispanic consumers were more pronounced than general market declines, which has an outsized impact on our Beer Business compared to the broader beer category. Despite the challenging operating environment, through July of fiscal 2026 we grew volume share in 49 of 50 states(3), and in Circana channels our Beer Business remained the top dollar share gainer in the total U.S. beer category with a 0.4 point increase(4). We remain resolutely focused on continuing to execute against our strategic objectives, including driving distribution gains, disciplined innovation, and investing behind our brands.�
“Our cost savings and efficiency initiatives continue to deliver incremental benefits for our business, supporting continued investment levels behind our brands,� said Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Garth Hankinson. “We remain committed to our disciplined and balanced capital allocation priorities, including maintaining our investment grade rating; advancing our brewery investments in our Beer Business; and delivering cash returns to shareholders through our dividend and share repurchase programs. Through the first half of this fiscal year we have executed
“Looking at our second quarter, we expect inventory rebalancing at the distributor level to reflect softer consumer trends, and to occur earlier than is typical for our Beer Business. As a result, we expect the change in shipments to trail the change in depletions in the second quarter by 6.0 to 7.0 points, and for shipment volume to generally align with depletion volume for the second half of the fiscal year.�
Additional supporting materials have been posted on the company’s investor relations website at under the section. In addition, Bill Newlands and Garth Hankinson will participate in a fireside chat at the 2025 Barclays Global Consumer Staples Conference today, Tuesday, September 2, in Boston, MA. The presentation is scheduled to begin at 3:45 p.m. ET and is expected to cover the company’s financial metrics, operating performance, strategic business initiatives, and outlook for the future. A live, listen-only webcast of the presentation will be available on the company’s investor relations website at under the section. When the presentation begins, financial information discussed in the presentation, and reconciliations of reported GAAP financial measures with comparable and other non-GAAP financial measures, will also be available on the company’s investor relations website under the section. For anyone unable to participate in the webcast, a replay will be available on the company’s investor relations website through the close of business on March 2, 2026.
(1) | Inclusive of shares repurchased through August 2025. |
(2) | Excludes |
(3) | Beer Institute and Company depletion measures, March 2025 through end of July 2025. |
(4) | Circana Total U.S. Multi-Outlet + Convenience data from March 2, 2025 to August17, 2025. |
ABOUT CONSTELLATION BRANDS
Constellation Brands (NYSE: STZ) is a leading international producer and marketer of beer, wine, and spirits with operations in the U.S., Mexico, New Zealand, and Italy. Our mission is to build brands that people love because we believe elevating human connections is Worth Reaching For. It’s worth our dedication, hard work, and calculated risks to anticipate market trends and deliver more for our consumers, shareholders, employees, and industry. This dedication is what has driven us to become one of the fastest-growing, large CPG companies in the U.S. at retail, and it drives our pursuit to deliver what’s next.
Every day, people reach for our high-end, imported beer portfolio anchored by the iconic Corona Extra and Modelo Especial, a flavorful lineup of Modelo Cheladas, and favorites like Pacifico, and Victoria; our exceptional wine brands including The Prisoner Wine Company, Robert Mondavi Winery, Kim Crawford, Schrader Cellars, and Lingua Franca; and our craft spirits brands such as Casa Noble Tequila and High West Whiskey.
As an agriculture-based company, we strive to operate in a way that is sustainable and responsible. Our ESG strategy is embedded into our business and we focus on serving as good stewards of the environment, investing in our communities, and promoting responsible beverage alcohol consumption. We believe these aspirations in support of our longer-term business strategy allow us to contribute to a future that is truly Worth Reaching For.
To learn more, visit and follow us on and .
MEDIA CONTACTS | INVESTOR RELATIONS CONTACTS |
Amy Martin 585-678-7141 /[email protected] Carissa Guzski 315-525-7362 /[email protected] | Blair Veenema 585-284-4433 /[email protected] Snehal Shah 847-385-4940 /[email protected] David Paccapaniccia 585-282-7227 /[email protected] |
SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION
Reported basis (“reported�) are derived from amounts as reported under generally accepted accounting principles in the U.S. Comparable basis (“comparable�) are amounts which exclude items that affect comparability (“comparable adjustments�), as they are not reflective of core operations of the segments. The company’s measure of segment profitability excludes comparable adjustments, which is consistent with the measure used by management to evaluate results. The company discusses various non-GAAP measures in this news release (“release�). Financial statements, as well as supplemental schedules and tables reconciling non-GAAP measures, together with definitions of these measures and the reasons management uses these measures, are included in this release.
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
The statements made regarding our outlook and all statements other than statements of historical fact set forth in this release, including statements regarding the macroeconomic environment and headwinds, consumer demand and purchasing behavior, our business strategy and objectives, growth plans and focus areas, capital allocation priorities, targets, and commitments, competitive position, Beer Business capital expansion, future operations, financial position, expected EPS, net sales, expenses, operating income, shipment and depletion volumes, operating deleveraging, tariffs, equity in earnings, interest expense, net, tax rates, tax law changes, shifts in taxable income base, noncontrolling interests, shares outstanding, operating cash flow, capital expenditures, free cash flow, future payments of dividends, amount, manner, and timing of share repurchases under the share repurchase authorization, impacts of high-end beer buy rate declines, cost saving and efficiency initiatives, and inventory rebalancing at the distributor level, and prospects, plans, and objectives of management, as well as information concerning expected actions of third parties, are forward-looking statements (collectively, “Projections�) that involve risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond our control, and which could cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in, or implied by, the Projections.
When used in this release, the words “anticipate,� “believe,� “expect,� “intend,� “outlook,� “will,� and similar expressions are intended to identify Projections, although not all Projections contain such identifying words. All Projections speak only as of the date of this release. We undertake no obligation to update or revise any Projections, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. The Projections are based on management’s current estimates, expectations, plans, and timetables, and, unless otherwise noted, do not take into account the impact of any future acquisition, investment, merger, or other business combination, divestiture (including any associated amount of incremental contingent consideration payment paid or received), cost savings, restructuring, operating, or efficiency initiatives, tariff changes, or financing or share repurchases that may be completed after the issuance of this release. Although we believe that the estimates, expectations, plans, and timetables reflected in the Projections are reasonable, we can give no assurance that such estimates, expectations, plans, and timetables will prove to be correct. In addition to the risks and uncertainties of ordinary business operations and conditions in the general economy and markets in which we compete, the Projections contained in this release are also subject to the risk, uncertainty, and possible variance from our current expectations regarding:
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RECONCILIATIONS OF GAAP TO NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES
We report our financial results in accordance with GAAP. However, non-GAAP financial measures, as defined in the reconciliation tables below, are provided because management uses this information in evaluating the results of our core operations and/or internal goal setting. In addition, we believe this information provides our investors valuable insight on underlying business trends and results in order to evaluate year-over-year financial performance. Non-GAAP financial measures should be considered in addition to, not as a substitute for, or superior to, our reported results prepared in accordance with GAAP.
Operating Income Guidance | Guidance Range for the Year Ending February 28, 2026 | Actual for the Year Ended February 28, 2025 | Percentage Change | ||||||||||||
(in millions) | |||||||||||||||
Operating income (GAAP) | $ | 2,719 | $ | 2,790 | $ | 354.9 | 666% | 686% | |||||||
Comparable adjustments(1) | 145 | 145 | 3,120.0 | ||||||||||||
Divestitures(2) | � | � | (244.7 | ) | |||||||||||
Comparable operating income (Non-GAAP) | $ | 2,864 | $ | 2,935 | $ | 3,230.2 | (11) % | (9) % | |||||||
(1) | Comparable adjustments include: (3) | Estimated for the Year Ending February 28, 2026 | Actual for the Year Ended February 28, 2025 | |||||
Assets held for sale impairment and related expenses | $ | 52 | $ | 478.0 | ||||
2025 Restructuring Initiative | $ | 41 | $ | 49.7 | ||||
Transition services agreements activity | $ | 24 | $ | 22.6 | ||||
Net (gain) loss on undesignated commodity derivative contracts | $ | 18 | $ | 0.3 | ||||
Strategic business reconfiguration costs | $ | 6 | $ | 40.3 | ||||
Transaction, integration, and other acquisition-related costs | $ | 2 | $ | 1.2 | ||||
Flow through of inventory step-up | $ | 2 | $ | 10.2 | ||||
(Gain) loss on sale of business | $ | 1 | $ | (266.0 | ) | |||
Settlements of undesignated commodity derivative contracts | $ | (3 | ) | $ | (26.8 | ) | ||
Goodwill and intangible assets impairment | $ | � | $ | 2,797.7 | ||||
Other (gains) losses | $ | � | $ | 12.8 | ||||
(2) | Amount reflects gross profit less marketing attributable to (i)the SVEDKA Divestiture for the period March 1, 2024, through January 5, 2025, and (ii)the 2025 Wine Divestitures for the period June 2, 2024, through February 28, 2025. | |||||||
(3) | May not sum due to rounding. | |||||||
Assets held for sale impairment and related expenses
Largely in connection with the 2025 Wine Divestitures we recognized contract liabilities and inventory obsolescence expenses, partially offset by changes in net assets held for sale.
2025 Restructuring Initiative
We recognized costs in connection with an enterprise-wide cost savings and restructuring initiative designed to help optimize the performance of our business (�2025 Restructuring Initiative�).
Transition services agreements activity
We recognized costs in connection with transition services agreements related to the previous sale of a portion of our wine and spirits business.
Undesignated commodity derivative contracts
Net gain (loss) on undesignated commodity derivative contracts represents a net gain (loss) from the changes in fair value of undesignated commodity derivative contracts. The net gain (loss) is reported outside of segment operating results until such time that the underlying exposure is recognized in the segment operating results. At settlement, the net gain (loss) from the changes in fair value of the undesignated commodity derivative contracts is reported in the appropriate operating segment, allowing the results of our operating segments to reflect the economic effects of the commodity derivative contracts without the resulting unrealized mark to fair value volatility.
Strategic business reconfiguration costs
We recognized costs in connection with certain activities which are intended to streamline, increase efficiencies, and reduce our cost structure.
Transaction, integration, and other acquisition-related costs
We recognized costs in connection with our acquisitions, divestitures, and investments.
Flow through of inventory step-up
In connection with acquisitions, the allocation of purchase price in excess of book value for certain inventories on hand at the date of acquisition is referred to as inventory step-up. Inventory step-up represents an assumed manufacturing profit attributable to the acquired business prior to acquisition.
Gain (loss) on sale of business
We recognized a net gain from the SVEDKA Divestiture.
Goodwill impairment and intangible assets impairment
We recognized goodwill and intangible assets impairments in connection with continued negative trends within our Wine and Spirits business primarily attributable to our U.S. wholesale market, driven by declines in both the overall wine market and in our mainstream and premium wine brands.
Other (gains) losses
We primarily recognized a net loss on foreign currency as a result of the resolution of various tax examinations and assessments, partially offset by decreases in estimated fair values of contingent liabilities associated with prior period acquisitions.
EPS Guidance | Guidance Range for the Year Ending February 28, 2026 | ||||
Forecasted EPS (GAAP) | $ | 10.77 | $ | 11.07 | |
Comparable adjustments(1) | 0.53 | 0.53 | |||
Forecasted comparable EPS (Non-GAAP)(2) | $ | 11.30 | $ | 11.60 | |
(1) | Comparable adjustments include: (2) | Estimated for the Year Ending February 28, 2026 | ||
Assets held for sale impairment and related expenses | $ | 0.22 | ||
2025 Restructuring Initiative | $ | 0.18 | ||
Transition services agreements activity | $ | 0.10 | ||
Net (gain) loss on undesignated commodity derivative contracts | $ | 0.08 | ||
Net income tax expense recognized as a result of the 2025 Wine Divestitures | $ | 0.03 | ||
Strategic business reconfiguration costs | $ | 0.03 | ||
(Gain) loss on sale of business | $ | 0.01 | ||
Transaction, integration, and other acquisition-related costs | $ | 0.01 | ||
Flow through of inventory step-up | $ | 0.01 | ||
Net income tax benefit recognized as a result of the resolution of various tax examinations and assessments related to prior periods | $ | (0.12 | ) | |
Settlements of undesignated commodity derivative contracts | $ | (0.01 | ) | |
(2) | May not sum due to rounding as each item is computed independently. The comparable adjustments and comparable EPS are calculated on a fully dilutive basis. | |||
Free Cash Flow Guidance
Free cash flow, as defined in the reconciliation below, is considered a liquidity measure and is considered to provide useful information to investors about the amount of cash generated, which can then be used, after required debt service and dividend payments, for other general corporate purposes. A limitation of free cash flow is that it does not represent the total increase or decrease in the cash balance for the period.
Guidance Range for the Year Ending February 28, 2026 | |||||||
(in millions) | |||||||
Net cash provided by operating activities (GAAP) | $ | 2,500 | $ | 2,600 | |||
Purchase of property, plant, and equipment | (1,200 | ) | (1,200 | ) | |||
Free cash flow (Non-GAAP) | $ | 1,300 | $ | 1,400 | |||
A downloadable PDF copy of this news release can be found here.
