S&P Global Mobility projects moderate U.S. auto sales for June 2025 at 1.27 million units
S&P Global (NYSE:SPGI) projects U.S. light vehicle sales for June 2025 to reach 1.27 million units, representing a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 15.6 million units. This follows May's SAAR of 15.7 million units, indicating a continued moderation in sales pace after stronger March-April results.
The automotive market faces challenges with new vehicle affordability concerns expected to worsen in the second half of the year due to potential upward pricing adjustments and tariff impacts. Battery electric vehicle (BEV) sales share is projected at 7% for June, showing moderation from January's peak of over 8%.
Light truck SAAR is estimated at 13.0 million units, while passenger car SAAR stands at 2.6 million units. The June forecast reflects fewer selling days (24) compared to both June 2024 (26 days) and May 2025 (27 days).
S&P Global (NYSE:SPGI) prevede che le vendite di veicoli leggeri negli Stati Uniti per giugno 2025 raggiungeranno 1,27 milioni di unit脿, corrispondenti a un tasso annualizzato corretto per la stagionalit脿 (SAAR) di 15,6 milioni di unit脿. Questo segue il SAAR di maggio pari a 15,7 milioni di unit脿, indicando un rallentamento nella velocit脿 delle vendite dopo i risultati pi霉 forti di marzo-aprile.
Il mercato automobilistico affronta sfide legate a preoccupazioni sull'accessibilit脿 dei nuovi veicoli, che si prevede peggioreranno nella seconda met脿 dell'anno a causa di possibili aumenti dei prezzi e impatti tariffari. La quota di vendite di veicoli elettrici a batteria (BEV) 猫 stimata al 7% per giugno, mostrando un calo rispetto al picco di oltre l'8% di gennaio.
Il SAAR per i veicoli commerciali leggeri 猫 stimato a 13,0 milioni di unit脿, mentre quello per le autovetture 猫 di 2,6 milioni di unit脿. La previsione per giugno riflette un numero inferiore di giorni di vendita (24) rispetto a giugno 2024 (26 giorni) e maggio 2025 (27 giorni).
S&P Global (NYSE:SPGI) proyecta que las ventas de veh铆culos ligeros en Estados Unidos para junio de 2025 alcancen 1,27 millones de unidades, lo que representa una tasa anual ajustada estacionalmente (SAAR) de 15,6 millones de unidades. Esto sigue a una SAAR de 15,7 millones en mayo, indicando una moderaci贸n continua en el ritmo de ventas tras los resultados m谩s fuertes de marzo-abril.
El mercado automotriz enfrenta desaf铆os con preocupaciones sobre la asequibilidad de veh铆culos nuevos, que se espera empeoren en la segunda mitad del a帽o debido a posibles ajustes al alza en los precios y el impacto de aranceles. La participaci贸n de ventas de veh铆culos el茅ctricos de bater铆a (BEV) se proyecta en 7% para junio, mostrando una moderaci贸n desde el pico de m谩s del 8% en enero.
El SAAR de camiones ligeros se estima en 13,0 millones de unidades, mientras que el de autom贸viles de pasajeros es de 2,6 millones de unidades. La previsi贸n para junio refleja menos d铆as de venta (24) en comparaci贸n con junio de 2024 (26 d铆as) y mayo de 2025 (27 d铆as).
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瓴巾姼霟� SAAR鞚� 1300毵� 雽�搿� 於旍爼霅橂┌, 鞀轨毄彀� SAAR鞚� 260毵� 雽�鞛呺媹雼�. 6鞗� 鞝勲鞚� 2024雲� 6鞗�(26鞚�)瓿� 2025雲� 5鞗�(27鞚�)鞐� 牍勴暣 韺愲Г鞚� 靾橁皜 鞝侅潃 24鞚检瀯鞚� 氚橃榿頃╇媹雼�.
S&P Global (NYSE:SPGI) pr茅voit que les ventes de v茅hicules l茅gers aux 脡tats-Unis en juin 2025 atteindront 1,27 million d'unit茅s, ce qui correspond 脿 un taux annuel corrig茅 des variations saisonni猫res (SAAR) de 15,6 millions d'unit茅s. Cela fait suite 脿 un SAAR de 15,7 millions en mai, indiquant un ralentissement continu du rythme des ventes apr猫s des r茅sultats plus solides en mars-avril.
Le march茅 automobile fait face 脿 des d茅fis li茅s 脿 des pr茅occupations concernant l'accessibilit茅 des nouveaux v茅hicules, qui devraient s'aggraver au second semestre en raison de possibles ajustements 脿 la hausse des prix et des impacts tarifaires. La part des ventes de v茅hicules 茅lectriques 脿 batterie (BEV) est projet茅e 脿 7% pour juin, montrant une mod茅ration par rapport au pic de plus de 8% en janvier.
Le SAAR des camions l茅gers est estim茅 脿 13,0 millions d'unit茅s, tandis que celui des voitures particuli猫res s'茅l猫ve 脿 2,6 millions d'unit茅s. Les pr茅visions pour juin tiennent compte d'un nombre de jours de vente inf茅rieur (24) par rapport 脿 juin 2024 (26 jours) et mai 2025 (27 jours).
S&P Global (NYSE:SPGI) prognostiziert f眉r Juni 2025 einen Absatz von 1,27 Millionen Einheiten bei leichten Fahrzeugen in den USA, was einer saisonbereinigten Jahresrate (SAAR) von 15,6 Millionen Einheiten entspricht. Dies folgt auf eine SAAR von 15,7 Millionen im Mai und zeigt eine anhaltende Abschw盲chung des Verkaufstempos nach starken Ergebnissen im M盲rz-April.
Der Automobilmarkt steht vor Herausforderungen durch Bedenken hinsichtlich der Erschwinglichkeit neuer Fahrzeuge, die sich in der zweiten Jahresh盲lfte aufgrund m枚glicher Preissteigerungen und Zollauswirkungen versch盲rfen d眉rften. Der Anteil der batterieelektrischen Fahrzeuge (BEV) am Verkauf wird f眉r Juni auf 7% gesch盲tzt, was eine Abschw盲chung gegen眉ber dem H枚chststand von 眉ber 8% im Januar darstellt.
Die SAAR f眉r leichte Nutzfahrzeuge wird auf 13,0 Millionen Einheiten gesch盲tzt, w盲hrend die SAAR f眉r Pkw bei 2,6 Millionen Einheiten liegt. Die Prognose f眉r Juni ber眉cksichtigt weniger Verkaufstage (24) im Vergleich zu Juni 2024 (26 Tage) und Mai 2025 (27 Tage).
- Light vehicle SAAR projected at 15.6M units, up from 15.0M in June 2024
- Light truck SAAR shows growth to 13.0M units compared to 12.3M in June 2024
- BEV sales maintaining 7% market share despite market challenges
- Second consecutive month of milder sales pace after March-April strength
- New vehicle affordability expected to worsen in second half of 2025
- BEV sales growth moderating with share decline from January's 8% peak
- Potential upward pricing pressure from tariff-impacted inventory
Insights
S&P Global projects flat auto sales with BEV growth stalling at 7% share, as tariffs and affordability concerns loom.
The June 2025 light vehicle sales projection of
Looking at the data, light trucks continue to dominate the market with a projected 13.0 million SAAR compared to just 2.6 million for passenger cars. This
The BEV market shows concerning signs of stagnation. After reaching
Two critical headwinds are explicitly identified: affordability pressures and tariff impacts. The report warns of "potential upward pricing adjustments" as inventory subject to tariffs replaces pre-tariff products in the second half of 2025. This pricing pressure comes at a particularly vulnerable time, as the market is already showing signs of buyer resistance.
Additionally, S&P Global notes an "unsettled regulatory and incentive policy environment" affecting BEV growth, indicating that previous assumptions about electric vehicle adoption rates may need recalibration toward more conservative projections.
- New light vehicle sales in June expected to maintain pace with the mild result of previous month
- Battery Electric Vehicle estimated shares for June expected at
7%
The anticipated June 2025 volume translates to an estimated annual sales pace of 15.6 million units (seasonally adjusted annual rate: SAAR), aligned with the May downshift (15.7M SAAR), as both months declined after the pull-ahead effect evident in the March-April results.
"Automakers and consumer alike continue to digest an uneasy and uncertain environment," said Chris Hopson, principal analyst at S&P Global Mobility. "While we saw strong March and April sales levels, June brings a second consecutive month of milder pace for auto demand. New vehicle affordability concerns are expected to worsen in the second half of the year under potential upward pricing adjustments. We see these pressures particularly as inventory subject to tariffs begins to replace pre-tariff product."
Jun 25 (Est) | May 25 | Jun 24 | ||
Total Light Vehicle | Units, NSA | 1,272,300 | 1,466,595 | 1,309,997 |
In millions, SAAR | 15.6 | 15.7 | 15.0 | |
Light Truck | In millions, SAAR | 13.0 | 13.1 | 12.3 |
Passenger Car | In millions, SAAR | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.7 |
Source: S&P Global Mobility (Est), | ||||
Battery electric vehicle (BEV) sales
According to S&P Global Mobility new registration data, estimated share of BEV sales for both May and June is expected around the
Continued development of BEV sales remains an assumption in the longer term S&P Global Mobility light vehicle sales forecast, although an unsettled regulatory and incentive policy environment has raised the potential that future growth rates will be more mild. In the immediate term, month-to-month share volatility is anticipated.
About S&P Global Mobility
At S&P Global Mobility, we provide invaluable insights derived from unmatched automotive data, enabling our customers to anticipate change and make decisions with conviction. Our expertise helps them to optimize their businesses, reach the right consumers, and shape the future of mobility. We open the door to automotive innovation, revealing the buying patterns of today and helping customers plan for the emerging technologies of tomorrow.
S&P Global Mobility is a division of S&P Global (NYSE: SPGI). S&P Global is the world's foremost provider of credit ratings, benchmarks, analytics and workflow solutions in the global capital, commodity and automotive markets. With every one of our offerings, we help many of the world's leading organizations navigate the economic landscape so they can plan for tomorrow, today. For more information, visit .
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