S&P CORELOGIC CASE-SHILLER INDEX RECORDS 2.3% ANNUAL GAIN IN MAY 2025
S&P Global (NYSE: SPGI) released the May 2025 S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices, showing a 2.3% annual gain in U.S. home prices, down from 2.7% in April. The report revealed significant regional variations, with New York leading at 7.4% growth, followed by Chicago (6.1%) and Detroit (4.9%).
The data indicated a broader market slowdown with the 20-City Composite posting 2.8% growth, down from 3.4%. Western markets showed weakness, with San Francisco declining 0.6% and Tampa posting the lowest return at -2.4%. After seasonal adjustment, all three headline indices declined 0.3%, marking the third consecutive month of seasonally adjusted decreases for the National Composite.
The market shows signs of recalibration amid tighter financial conditions, subdued transaction volumes, and constrained inventory.S&P Global (NYSE: SPGI) ha pubblicato gli indici S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller di maggio 2025, evidenziando un aumento annuale del 2,3% dei prezzi delle case negli Stati Uniti, in calo rispetto al 2,7% di aprile. Il rapporto ha mostrato variazioni regionali significative, con New York in testa con una crescita del 7,4%, seguita da Chicago (6,1%) e Detroit (4,9%).
I dati indicano un rallentamento più ampio del mercato, con il Composite delle 20 città che registra una crescita del 2,8%, in calo rispetto al 3,4%. I mercati occidentali mostrano debolezza, con San Francisco in calo dello 0,6% e Tampa che segna il rendimento più basso a -2,4%. Dopo la correzione stagionale, tutti e tre gli indici principali sono diminuiti dello 0,3%, segnando il terzo mese consecutivo di cali stagionalmente aggiustati per il Composite Nazionale.
Il mercato mostra segnali di riequilibrio in un contesto di condizioni finanziarie più restrittive, volumi di transazioni contenuti e scorte limitate.
S&P Global (NYSE: SPGI) publicó los índices S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller de mayo de 2025, mostrando un incremento anual del 2,3% en los precios de las viviendas en EE. UU., una disminución respecto al 2,7% de abril. El informe reveló variaciones regionales significativas, con Nueva York liderando con un crecimiento del 7,4%, seguida por Chicago (6,1%) y Detroit (4,9%).
Los datos indicaron una desaceleración general del mercado, con el Índice Compuesto de 20 ciudades registrando un crecimiento del 2,8%, por debajo del 3,4%. Los mercados occidentales mostraron debilidad, con San Francisco cayendo un 0,6% y Tampa registrando el rendimiento más bajo con -2,4%. Tras el ajuste estacional, los tres índices principales disminuyeron un 0,3%, marcando el tercer mes consecutivo de caídas ajustadas estacionalmente para el Compuesto Nacional.
El mercado muestra signos de reajuste en medio de condiciones financieras más estrictas, volúmenes de transacciones bajos y un inventario limitado.
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S&P Global (NYSE: SPGI) a publié les indices S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller de mai 2025, montrant une hausse annuelle de 2,3% des prix des logements aux États-Unis, en baisse par rapport à 2,7% en avril. Le rapport a révélé des variations régionales importantes, avec New York en tête avec une croissance de 7,4%, suivie de Chicago (6,1%) et Detroit (4,9%).
Les données indiquent un ralentissement plus large du marché, avec le composite des 20 villes affichant une croissance de 2,8%, en baisse par rapport à 3,4%. Les marchés de l’Ouest ont montré des faiblesses, San Francisco enregistrant une baisse de 0,6% et Tampa le rendement le plus faible à -2,4%. Après ajustement saisonnier, les trois indices principaux ont chuté de 0,3%, marquant le troisième mois consécutif de baisse ajustée pour le composite national.
Le marché montre des signes de réajustement dans un contexte de conditions financières plus strictes, de volumes de transactions modérés et d’une offre limitée.
S&P Global (NYSE: SPGI) veröffentlichte die S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indizes für Mai 2025, die einen jährlichen Anstieg von 2,3% der US-Hauspreise zeigten, ein Rückgang gegenüber 2,7% im April. Der Bericht zeigte erhebliche regionale Unterschiede, wobei New York mit 7,4% Wachstum führend war, gefolgt von Chicago (6,1%) und Detroit (4,9%).
Die Daten deuteten auf eine breitere Marktabkühlung hin, wobei der 20-Städte-Composite ein Wachstum von 2,8% verzeichnete, ein Rückgang von 3,4%. Westliche Märkte zeigten Schwäche, mit einem Rückgang von San Francisco um 0,6% und Tampa mit der niedrigsten Rendite von -2,4%. Nach saisonaler Bereinigung sanken alle drei Hauptindizes um 0,3%, was den dritten aufeinanderfolgenden Monat saisonbereinigter Rückgänge für den National Composite markiert.
Der Markt zeigt Anzeichen einer Neubewertung angesichts strengerer finanzieller Bedingungen, gedämpfter Transaktionsvolumina und begrenztem Inventar.
- New York market shows strong 7.4% annual price growth
- Midwest and Northeast markets demonstrate resilience with Chicago up 6.1% and Detroit up 4.9%
- National home prices maintain positive year-over-year growth at 2.3%
- Most cities (16 out of 20) still register positive annual price gains
- Annual price gains narrowed for fourth consecutive month
- Western markets show significant weakness with San Francisco declining 0.6%
- Tampa posted seventh consecutive month of annual declines, down 2.4%
- All three headline indices declined 0.3% after seasonal adjustment
- Transaction volumes remain subdued with constrained inventory levels
Insights
Housing market momentum continues to slow with national home prices up just 2.3% annually, showing geographic divergence and seasonal weakness.
The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Index shows a notable deceleration in home price growth, with the national index rising just
A stark geographic divergence persists in the housing market. Northeastern and Midwestern cities lead price growth, with New York (
The monthly data signals broader market fatigue. All three headline indices rose only
This slowdown reflects a market recalibrating around tighter financial conditions with subdued transaction volumes. While often attributed to higher mortgage rates, the data suggests a more complex dynamic where affordability constraints and limited inventory are creating pressure. The spring selling season provided only modest price support, insufficient to maintain previous momentum. With only four cities showing month-over-month acceleration, the breadth of price growth is narrowing even as most markets still record nominal gains.
YEAR-OVER-YEAR
The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller
MONTH-OVER-MONTH
The pre-seasonally adjusted
After seasonal adjustment, the
ANALYSIS
"May's data continued the year's slow unwind of price momentum, with annual gains narrowing for a fourth consecutive month," said Nicholas Godec, CFA, CAIA, CIPM, Head of Fixed Income Tradables & Commodities at S&P Dow Jones Indices. "National home prices were just
"The National Composite Index rose
"Regional results reflected the same narrowing pattern, but with stark geographic divergence.
"Monthly trends also signaled broad-based fatigue. All three headline indices rose just
"Seasonal momentum is proving weaker than usual, and the slowdown is now more than just a story of higher mortgage rates," Godec concluded. "It reflects a market recalibrating around tighter financial conditions, subdued transaction volumes, and increasingly local dynamics. With affordability still stretched and inventory constrained, national home prices are holding steady, but barely."
SUPPORTING DATA
Table 1 below shows the housing boom/bust peaks and troughs for the three composites along with the current levels and percentage changes from the peaks and troughs.
2006 Peak | 2012 Trough | Current | |||||||
Index | Level | Date | Level | Date | From Peak (%) | Level | From Trough (%) | From Peak (%) | |
National | 184.61 | Jul-06 | 133.99 | Feb-12 | -27.4% | 331.11 | 147.1% | 79.4% | |
20-City | 206.52 | Jul-06 | 134.07 | Mar-12 | -35.1% | 342.97 | 155.8% | 66.1% | |
10-City | 226.29 | Jun-06 | 146.45 | Mar-12 | -35.3% | 362.80 | 147.7% | 60.3% |
Table 2 below summarizes the results for May 2025. The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices could be revised for the prior 24 months, based on the receipt of additional source data.
May 2025 | May/April | April/March | 1-Year | |
Metropolitan Area | Level | Change (%) | Change (%) | Change (%) |
252.13 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.7% | |
353.03 | 1.3% | 1.5% | 4.6% | |
287.00 | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.5% | |
220.22 | 1.2% | 1.2% | 6.1% | |
201.45 | 1.4% | 1.0% | 4.8% | |
298.95 | 0.3% | 0.8% | -0.6% | |
322.60 | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | |
197.44 | 1.1% | 1.5% | 4.9% | |
305.87 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 3.3% | |
449.10 | -0.5% | -0.1% | 1.1% | |
442.39 | -0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
247.26 | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.5% | |
333.56 | 0.9% | 1.3% | 7.4% | |
330.80 | 0.1% | -0.1% | 0.9% | |
336.17 | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
447.97 | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | |
363.53 | 0.0% | 0.5% | -0.6% | |
402.41 | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | |
377.91 | 0.5% | 0.7% | -2.4% | |
340.15 | 0.1% | 0.9% | 3.3% | |
Composite-10 | 362.80 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 3.4% |
Composite-20 | 342.97 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 2.8% |
331.11 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 2.3% | |
Sources: S&P Dow Jones Indices and CoreLogic | ||||
Data through May 2025 |
Table 3 below shows a summary of the monthly changes using the seasonally adjusted (SA) and non-seasonally adjusted (NSA) data. Since its launch in early 2006, the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices have published, and the markets have followed and reported on, the non-seasonally adjusted data set used in the headline indices. For analytical purposes, S&P Dow Jones Indices publishes a seasonally adjusted data set covered in the headline indices, as well as for the 17 of 20 markets with tiered price indices and the five condo markets that are tracked.
May/April Change (%) | April/March Change (%) | |||
Metropolitan Area | NSA | SA | NSA | SA |
0.6% | -0.1% | 0.7% | -0.1% | |
1.3% | 0.5% | 1.5% | -0.3% | |
1.1% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | |
1.2% | 0.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | |
1.4% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | |
0.3% | -0.7% | 0.8% | -0.6% | |
0.1% | -0.6% | 0.7% | -0.8% | |
1.1% | 0.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% | |
0.4% | -0.5% | 0.6% | -0.2% | |
-0.5% | -1.0% | -0.1% | -1.1% | |
-0.1% | -0.7% | 0.5% | -0.3% | |
1.3% | 0.0% | 0.9% | -0.3% | |
0.9% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | |
0.1% | -0.8% | -0.1% | -0.9% | |
0.9% | 0.1% | 0.4% | -0.7% | |
0.1% | -0.5% | 0.7% | -0.6% | |
0.0% | -0.8% | 0.5% | -1.3% | |
0.0% | -0.8% | 1.0% | -0.9% | |
0.5% | -0.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | |
0.1% | -0.6% | 0.9% | -0.1% | |
Composite-10 | 0.4% | -0.3% | 0.8% | -0.3% |
Composite-20 | 0.4% | -0.3% | 0.8% | -0.3% |
0.4% | -0.3% | 0.6% | -0.4% | |
Sources: S&P Dow Jones Indices and CoreLogic | ||||
Data through May 2025 |
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